Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 50.55%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Eupen win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
