Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Neman had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
