Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mumbai City win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mumbai City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.