MX23RW : Saturday, August 27 23:04:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sep 18, 2021 at 2.30pm UK at The Oval
Caernarfon
2 - 0
Cardiff MU
Gosset (28'), Hayes (54')
Bailey (23'), Thomas (64'), Cartwright (71'), Hayes (90+2'), Hayes (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Evans (45')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
33.9%25.26%40.83%
Both teams to score 56.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.76%47.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53%69.47%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22%26.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94%62.06%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01%22.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21%56.79%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 33.9%
    Cardiff MU 40.83%
    Draw 25.26%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.9%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.16%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 9.05%
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.83%

Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 2.45pm
Caernarfon
3-2
Cardiff MU
Kenny (12'), Hayes (55' pen.), Bickerstaff (81')
Edwards (28'), Edwards (34'), Williams (81'), Williams (90+4')
Edwards (66')
Owen (61'), Evans (90+4' pen.)
Lewis (60')
Oct 3, 2020 5.15pm
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Bradley (34' pen.), Thomas (83'), Jones (88')
(72')
Jan 18, 2020 5.15pm
Cardiff MU
2-0
Caernarfon
Lam (30'), Evans (90')
Evans (39'), Lam (66')

Brookwell (39'), Evans (78')
Gruffydd (61')
Nov 29, 2019 8pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Cardiff MU
Jones (28'), Craig (76')
Lam (62')
May 11, 2019 7.30pm
Caernarfon
2-3
Cardiff MU
Thomas (19'), Craig (92')
Craig (94')
Baker (36'), Roscrow (68'), McCarthy (82')
McCarthy (45'), Lewis (55'), Baker (84')
rhs 2.0
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