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[monks data]
Aug 29, 2021 at 2.30pm UK at Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
2 - 1
Borussia M'bach
Giesselmann (22'), Awoniyi (41')
Haraguchi (45'), Trimmel (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hofmann (90+1')

Preview: Union Berlin vs. Borussia Monchengladbach - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Union Berlin and Borussia Monchengladbach will both go in search of their first league victory of the season when they meet on Sunday.

The two sides are winless after the first two matches, with the hosts on two points and the visitors on one.


Match preview

FC Union Berlin coach Urs Fischer before the match on January 23, 2021© Reuters

Despite last season being only their second ever in the top flight, Union Berlin finished seventh and qualified for European football for the first time in 20 years.

On Thursday night they drew 0-0 with Finnish side KuPS in the second leg of their UEFA Conference League playoff second leg, meaning they progressed to the group stage 4-0 on aggregate.

Attentions will now turn back to the Bundesliga, where they have drawn their opening two fixtures – 1-1 against Bayer Leverkusen and 2-2 against Hoffenheim – despite taking the lead in both games.

Urs Fischer's side have a superb home record; they are unbeaten at the Stadion An der Alten Forsterei in their last 17 league matches, last losing there on the opening day of last season.

Borussia Monchengladbach's Alassane Plea celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on August 13, 2021© Reuters

Borussia Monchengladbach finished one point behind Union Berlin in 2020-21, and both games between the two sides finished 1-1, so expect Sunday's game to be a close affair.

An eighth-place finish was Monchengladbach's lowest placing since 2018, and there was a change of manager in the summer as Frankfurt boss Adi Hutter was appointed following Marco Rose's departure to Borussia Dortmund.

Hutter was given a baptism of fire by facing Bayern Munich on the opening day, but led Die Fohlen to a 1-1 draw against the reigning champions.

However the result did not give them a platform to build on as they were thrashed 4-0 by Bayer Leverkusen last weekend.

It is certainly fair to expect goals in Monchengladbach games – last season they scored the fourth-most in the Bundesliga (64) but also conceded the fourth-most (56).

Union Berlin Bundesliga form:
  • D
  • D

Union Berlin form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D

Borussia Monchengladbach Bundesliga form:
  • D
  • L

Borussia Monchengladbach form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Borussia Monchengladbach coach Adi Hutter during the match on August 13, 2021© Reuters

Marvin Friedrich was sent off against Hoffenheim so is suspended for Sunday's game, with summer arrival Timo Baumgartl expected to replace him in Union Berlin's back three.

Bayern Munich loanee Leon Dajaku is moving closer to fitness following an appendix operation, but is not likely to feature until after the international break.

Taiwo Awoniyi, who completed a permanent move from Liverpool in the summer, has made a strong start to the season with four goals in five appearances.

Borussia Monchengladbach's defeat to Bayer Leverkusen was made worse by injuries to Stefan Lainer and Marcus Thuram, with the latter set to be out for several weeks after suffering a ligament tear in his right knee.

It is a further blow to the team's attacking options, as Breel Embolo is already sidelined with a thigh injury. Meanwhile, defender Matthias Ginter has tested positive for COVID-19.

In better news for the visitors, Alassane Plea should be fit to play after going off with a knock last weekend.

Union Berlin possible starting lineup:
Luthe; Baumgartl, Knoche, Jaeckel; Trimmel, Haraguchi, Khedira, Giesselmann; Ingvartsen; Kruse, Awoniyi

Borussia Monchengladbach possible starting lineup:
Sommer; Scally, Elvedi, Jantschke, Bensebaini; Kramer, Neuhaus; Hofmann, Stindl, Wolf; Plea


SM words green background

We say: Union Berlin 0-0 Borussia Monchengladbach

Union Berlin's Europa Conference League game on Thursday means they have had less preparation and rest time for this fixture, while Monchengladbach may struggle for goals with Thuram and Embolo both out. This could all mean that a fairly flat affair awaits; we are going for a goalless draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Borussia M'bach

Union Berlin
40.5%
Draw
32.9%
Borussia Monchengladbach
26.6%
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Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Borussia DortmundDortmund29193766392760
2Bayern MunichBayern29178479334659
3Union BerlinUnion Berlin29167644311355
4Freiburg2915864537853
5RB Leipzig29156853371651
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen291451053411247
7Mainz 05Mainz2912984940945
8Wolfsburg291110851371443
9Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt2911994945442
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2999114346-336
11FC Koln29811104047-735
12Werder Bremen29105144756-935
13Augsburg2986153854-1630
14Hoffenheim2985163950-1129
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum2983183266-3427
16Stuttgart29510143651-1525
17Schalke 04Schalke2959152656-3024
18Hertha Berlin2957173559-2422

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