Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 63.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Veres had a probability of 14.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Veres win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.