Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Veres win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Veres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
