Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Minai had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Minai win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.