Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a New Zealand Women win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.
