Australia Women 2-1 New Zealand Women - Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage - Athletics

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia Women win with a probability of 92.89%. A draw had a probability of 5.2% and a win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 1.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.53%) and 5-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.43%), while for a New Zealand Women win it was 1-2 (0.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia Women would win this match.

Result
Australia Women	Draw	New Zealand Women
92.89%	5.2%	1.91%

Both teams to score 40.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

82.13%

17.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.95%

35.05%

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

98.02%

1.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

90.26%

9.73%

New Zealand Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.38%

58.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.07%

89.93%

Score Analysis

Australia Women 92.88%

New Zealand Women 1.91%

Draw 5.2%

Australia Women	Draw	New Zealand Women
3-0 @ 11.72% 4-0 @ 11.53% 5-0 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 6.26% 4-1 @ 6.16% 6-0 @ 5.94% 5-1 @ 4.84% 2-1 @ 4.78% 1-0 @ 4.55% 7-0 @ 3.34% 6-1 @ 3.18% 7-1 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.64% 8-0 @ 1.64% 5-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 4.53% Total : 92.88%	1-1 @ 2.43% 2-2 @ 1.28% 0-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.34% Total : 5.2%	Other @ 1.91% Total : 1.91%