Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Perugia in this match.
