Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 58%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 21.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
58% | 20.56% | 21.44% |
Both teams to score 62.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.39% | 34.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.44% | 56.56% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.17% | 11.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.91% | 37.09% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.85% | 29.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.92% | 65.08% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 7.86% 1-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 6.89% 3-0 @ 5.59% 3-2 @ 4.25% 4-1 @ 3.68% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 2.27% 5-1 @ 1.57% 5-0 @ 1.27% 5-2 @ 0.97% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.7% Total : 58% | 1-1 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 3.45% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 5.59% 0-1 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.15% Total : 21.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 74 |
2 | Lazio | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 58 |
3 | Roma | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 53 |
4 | AC Milan | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 52 |
5 | Inter Milan | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 48 |
7 | Juventus | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 44 |
8 | Bologna | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 43 |
9 | Fiorentina | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 41 |
10 | Udinese | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 39 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 38 |
12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Monza | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 35 |
14 | Empoli | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 32 |
15 | Salernitana | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 29 |
16 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 27 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
19 | Cremonese | 29 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 16 |
20 | Sampdoria | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 15 |
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