Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Spezia |
49.85% | 23.46% | 26.69% |
Both teams to score 58.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.3% | 42.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.9% | 65.1% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.75% | 17.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.43% | 47.57% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.66% | 29.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.68% | 65.32% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Spezia |
2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.94% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.3% Total : 26.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 50 |
2 | AC Milan | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 38 |
3 | Lazio | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 37 |
4 | Inter Milan | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 37 |
5 | Roma | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 37 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Torino | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 26 |
9 | Bologna | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
10 | Empoli | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 25 |
11 | Juventus | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 23 |
12 | Fiorentina | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Monza | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Salernitana | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Lecce | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
16 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 18 |
17 | SassuoloSassuolo | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
19 | Sampdoria | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 32 | -24 | 9 |
20 | Cremonese | 19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 33 | -19 | 8 |
> Full Version |