Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Bologna |
40.13% | 24.74% | 35.13% |
Both teams to score 58.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.37% | 44.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.01% | 66.99% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.8% | 22.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.39% | 55.61% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% | 24.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% | 59.41% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Bologna |
2-1 @ 8.7% 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.13% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-1 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 50 |
2 | AC Milan | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 38 |
3 | Lazio | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 37 |
4 | Inter Milan | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 37 |
5 | Roma | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 37 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Torino | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 26 |
9 | Bologna | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
10 | Empoli | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 25 |
11 | Juventus | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 23 |
12 | Fiorentina | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Monza | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Salernitana | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Lecce | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
16 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 18 |
17 | SassuoloSassuolo | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
19 | Sampdoria | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 32 | -24 | 9 |
20 | Cremonese | 19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 33 | -19 | 8 |
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