Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli
3 - 1
Bologna
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
| 64.94% | 19.34% | 15.73% |
| Both teams to score 55.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
