Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Spezia |
71.78% | 16.1% | 12.11% |
Both teams to score 57.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.88% | 31.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.47% | 52.53% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.39% | 7.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.79% | 27.21% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.36% | 37.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.58% | 74.41% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 9.29% 3-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 5.26% 4-1 @ 5.14% 3-2 @ 3.9% 5-0 @ 2.71% 5-1 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 2.51% 5-2 @ 1.29% 6-0 @ 1.16% 6-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.74% Total : 71.78% | 1-1 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 4.54% 0-0 @ 2.86% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.1% | 1-2 @ 3.52% 0-1 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-2 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.8% Total : 12.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 79 |
2 | Lazio | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 64 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 63 |
4 | Inter Milan | 33 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 60 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 58 |
6 | AC Milan | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 58 |
7 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 58 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
9 | Bologna | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 45 |
10 | Monza | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 45 |
11 | Torino | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 45 |
12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
13 | Udinese | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 42 |
14 | Salernitana | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
15 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 32 |
16 | Lecce | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 31 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 27 |
18 | SpeziaSpezia | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 28 | 54 | -26 | 27 |
19 | Cremonese | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 29 | 59 | -30 | 21 |
20 | Sampdoria | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 59 | -39 | 17 |
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