Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 40.19%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 1-2 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.71%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 1-0 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
