Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
37.05% ( -0.7) | 26.76% ( 0.07) | 36.18% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 51.68% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.59% ( -0.27) | 53.41% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.06% ( -0.23) | 74.94% ( 0.23) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% ( -0.53) | 27.85% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.54% ( -0.69) | 63.45% ( 0.69) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% ( 0.24) | 28.37% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% ( 0.31) | 64.11% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 36.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 31 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 68 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 57 |
3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 55 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 |
6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 47 |
7 | Montrose | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 42 |
8 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 |
9 | Clyde | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 31 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 74 | -59 | 15 |
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