Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
