Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
