Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 48.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.