Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
39.5% ( -1.22) | 29.12% ( 0.93) | 31.38% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 43.98% ( -2.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.35% ( -3.06) | 62.65% ( 3.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.79% ( -2.29) | 82.21% ( 2.29) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.07% ( -2.22) | 30.93% ( 2.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.78% ( -2.69) | 67.23% ( 2.69) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.67% ( -1.43) | 36.33% ( 1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.89% ( -1.48) | 73.12% ( 1.48) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 13.18% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.25) Other @ 3.1% Total : 39.49% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 11.23% ( 1.22) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.11% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.83) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.93% Total : 31.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
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