Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Rio Ave |
28.59% | 26.92% | 44.49% |
Both teams to score 48.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.1% | 55.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% | 77.01% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.16% | 34.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.43% | 71.57% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% | 25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.35% | 59.65% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.15% Total : 28.59% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 12.07% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 8.37% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 10 | 28 | 40 |
2 | Braga | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 12 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 33 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 28 |
5 | Casa Pia | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 24 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 22 |
8 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 20 |
9 | ChavesChaves | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 20 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 20 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 19 |
12 | Vizela | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 17 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
15 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Maritimo | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 10 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 3 |
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