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Fiorentina logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Sampdoria logo
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Sampdoria
Barak (25')
Amrabat (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sabiri (24'), Murillo (54'), Rincon (88'), Contini (90+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-0 Sampdoria

Given these two sides' respective league positions, we expect Fiorentina to take this cup tie much more seriously and produce a comfortable victory to reach the quarter-finals of this competition for the 11th time in 13 seasons. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSampdoria
62.76% (-0.338 -0.34) 20.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 17.12% (0.313 0.31)
Both teams to score 56% (0.59500000000001 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.57% (0.457 0.46)39.43% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.22% (0.476 0.48)61.77% (-0.473 -0.47)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.99% (0.046000000000006 0.05)12% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.55% (0.094000000000001 0.09)37.45% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (0.645 0.64)36.35% (-0.644 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (0.644 0.64)73.14% (-0.643 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 62.76%
    Sampdoria 17.12%
    Draw 20.12%
FiorentinaDrawSampdoria
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.93% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.72% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.58% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 62.76%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.12%
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 17.12%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Sampdoria

Fiorentina
68.5%
Draw
21.3%
Sampdoria
10.1%
89
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
May 16, 2022 5.30pm
Sampdoria
4-1
Fiorentina
Ferrari (16'), Quagliarella (30'), Thorsby (71'), Sabiri (84')
Vieira (18'), Trimboli (89')
Colley (90+3')
Gonzalez (89' pen.)
Torreira (14'), Gonzalez (15'), Maleh (69')
Nov 30, 2021 5.30pm
Feb 14, 2021 2pm
Oct 2, 2020 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Sampdoria
Vlahovic (72')
Quagliarella (42' pen.), Verre (83')
Thorsby (25'), Tonelli (70'), Ekdal (73')
rhs 2.0
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