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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Norwich logo
Southampton
2 - 0
Norwich
Adams (36'), Romeu (88')
Salisu (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pukki (59'), Williams (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Southampton 2-1 Norwich City

Southampton have won their last four home games against Norwich in all competitions, while the Saints are unbeaten in their last 10 matches at St Mary's. Norwich are capable of finding the back of the net on Friday evening, but we are expecting Hasenhuttl's side to collect all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawNorwich City
59.28%23.41%17.31%
Both teams to score 45.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.94%53.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36%74.64%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39%17.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8%48.2%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.75%44.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67%80.33%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 59.27%
    Norwich City 17.31%
    Draw 23.4%
SouthamptonDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 13.53%
2-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 5.55%
4-0 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 2.26%
5-0 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 59.27%
1-1 @ 11.03%
0-0 @ 7.79%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.4%
0-1 @ 6.35%
1-2 @ 4.5%
0-2 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 17.31%

How you voted: Southampton vs Norwich

Southampton
85.5%
Draw
8.8%
Norwich City
5.6%
249
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-1
Southampton
Pukki (7'), Hanley (79')
Williams (64'), Krul (90+3'), Normann (90+4')
Adams (4')
Bednarek (64'), Walker-Peters (71')
Jun 19, 2020 6pm
Dec 4, 2019 7.30pm
Jan 18, 2017 7.45pm
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Third Round
Norwich
2-2
Southampton
Whittaker (52' pen.), Naismith (92')
Tettey (58')
Van Dijk (38'), Yoshida (67')
Sims (50')
[nma]
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Newcastle UnitedNewcastle11005143
2Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton11004133
3Manchester CityMan City11003033
4Arsenal11002113
5Crystal Palace11001013
6Fulham11001013
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham10101101
8Bournemouth10101101
9Chelsea00000000
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000
12Liverpool00000000
13Brentford00000000
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs00000000
15Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest100112-10
16Everton100101-10
17Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd100101-10
18Luton TownLuton100114-30
19Burnley100103-30
20Aston Villa100115-40

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