Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
