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National League North | Gameweek 20
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford
1 - 2
Darlington
Evans (11')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Liddle (45+3'), Lambert (53')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Darlington.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darlington 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawDarlington
35.54% (0.114 0.11) 27.09% (0.255 0.25) 37.37% (-0.371 -0.37)
Both teams to score 50.6% (-0.805 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.25% (-1.018 -1.02)54.75% (1.016 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.94% (-0.851 -0.85)76.06% (0.849 0.85)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.429 -0.43)29.41% (0.427 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.52699999999999 -0.53)65.41% (0.524 0.52)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69% (-0.703 -0.7)28.31% (0.701 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97% (-0.89599999999999 -0.9)64.03% (0.893 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 35.53%
    Darlington 37.36%
    Draw 27.08%
Hereford UnitedDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 10.18% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.53%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.325 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.5% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 37.36%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Hereford
1-1
Darlington
Faal (5')
Lambert (71')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
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