Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 78.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 7.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 3-0 (11.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Troyes |
78.2% | 14.74% | 7.07% |
Both teams to score 40.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.35% | 41.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.94% | 64.06% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.28% | 8.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.01% | 30% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.6% | 55.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.88% | 88.12% |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Troyes |
2-0 @ 14.37% 1-0 @ 11.78% 3-0 @ 11.69% 2-1 @ 8.49% 4-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 6.91% 4-1 @ 4.21% 5-0 @ 3.48% 5-1 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 2.04% 6-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.36% Total : 78.18% | 1-1 @ 6.96% 0-0 @ 4.83% 2-2 @ 2.51% Other @ 0.44% Total : 14.74% | 0-1 @ 2.85% 1-2 @ 2.06% Other @ 2.16% Total : 7.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 |
2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 56 |
8 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 |
9 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 |
10 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
11 | Clermont | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 |
13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 |
15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 |
17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 |
19 | Troyes | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 22 |
R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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