Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 36.41%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.
