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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Crawley Town |
52.25% | 25.11% | 22.64% |
Both teams to score 48.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.78% | 53.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.22% | 74.78% |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% | 20.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.23% | 52.77% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.49% | 38.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.74% | 75.26% |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 12.48% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 2% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.62% Total : 52.25% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.48% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leyton Orient | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 84 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 43 | 21 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 77 |
3 | Stevenage | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 76 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 72 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 71 |
7 | Salford City | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 69 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 67 | 51 | 16 | 69 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 62 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 57 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 55 |
12 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 55 |
13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 54 |
14 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 52 |
15 | Walsall | 43 | 11 | 18 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 51 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 51 |
17 | Gillingham | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 51 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 50 |
19 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 46 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 45 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 43 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 42 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 39 |
24 | Rochdale | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 34 |
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