Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.
