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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
46.4% | 27.22% | 26.37% |
Both teams to score 46.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.84% | 58.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.19% | 78.81% |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% | 25.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.25% | 59.74% |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.13% | 37.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.36% | 74.64% |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 8.82% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.26% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.65% Total : 26.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Stevenage | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
4 | Port Vale | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 17 |
5 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 16 |
6 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Derby CountyDerby | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
10 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
14 | Blackpool | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 9 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Burton Albion | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
21 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 5 |
22 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
24 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 15 | -15 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |