Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 12.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.