Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.