Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Elche had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
30.85% | 27.39% | 41.75% |
Both teams to score 48.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.23% | 56.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.29% | 77.71% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.41% | 33.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.77% | 70.23% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.2% | 26.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.9% | 62.1% |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.85% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 11.85% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 7.8% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 11 | 48 | 79 |
2 | Real Madrid | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 30 | 39 | 68 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 63 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 58 |
5 | Villarreal | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 50 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 49 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 46 |
8 | Osasuna | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 44 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
10 | GironaGirona | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Sevilla | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Mallorca | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 39 |
14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 50 | -23 | 35 |
15 | Almeria | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 33 |
16 | Valencia | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 33 |
17 | CadizCadiz | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 32 |
18 | Getafe | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 31 |
19 | Espanyol | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 28 |
20 | ElcheElche | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 62 | -38 | 16 |
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