Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%).
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
39.39% | 26.41% | 34.2% |
Both teams to score 52.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.87% | 52.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.15% | 73.85% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.06% | 25.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.06% | 60.94% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.03% | 28.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.14% | 64.85% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.31% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 10 | 19 | 32 |
2 | Barcelona | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 4 | 25 | 31 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Villarreal | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
10 | Valencia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 15 |
11 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Mallorca | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Almeria | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Espanyol | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
16 | GironaGirona | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 10 |
17 | Getafe | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Sevilla | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
19 | CadizCadiz | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
20 | ElcheElche | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 4 |
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