Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
