Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Granada had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Granada |
36.46% | 28.5% | 35.05% |
Both teams to score 46.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.93% | 60.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.71% | 80.29% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.51% | 31.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.12% | 67.88% |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.6% | 32.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.08% | 68.92% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 11 | 49 | 82 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 69 |
3 | Real Madrid | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 68 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 61 |
5 | Villarreal | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 54 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 52 |
7 | GironaGirona | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 46 |
10 | Osasuna | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Sevilla | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Mallorca | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 41 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 |
14 | Almeria | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 36 |
15 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 35 |
16 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 57 | -27 | 35 |
17 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 34 |
18 | Getafe | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 34 |
19 | Espanyol | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 31 |
R | ElcheElche | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 16 |
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