MX23RW : Friday, May 19 10:23:29| >> :120:44717:44717:
Roma logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
HJK logo
Roma
3 - 0
HJK Helsinki
Dybala (47'), Pellegrini (49'), Belotti (68')
Ibanez (25'), Cristante (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hetemaj (29'), Halme (87')
Tenho (14')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 1-2 Roma
Monday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Honka 1-2 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

We said: Roma 2-0 HJK Helsinki

While HJK's players will have been anticipating their trip to Rome since the draw was first made, they are set to return home empty-handed due to the gulf in resources available to both coaches. Even if Jose Mourinho rotates his squad, the hosts can record their first Group C win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.06%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.19%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawHJK Helsinki
65.66% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28) 23.74% (0.103 0.1) 10.59% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 30.64% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.14% (0.031999999999996 0.03)64.85% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.21% (0.023 0.02)83.79% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)19.73% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (-0.151 -0.15)51.75% (0.154 0.15)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.17% (0.365 0.37)61.83% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.44% (0.1751 0.18)91.56% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Roma 65.65%
    HJK Helsinki 10.59%
    Draw 23.74%
RomaDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 19.79% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
2-0 @ 16.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.69% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 65.65%
0-0 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 1.86% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.065 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.29% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.41% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 10.59%

How you voted: Roma vs HJK Helsinki

Roma
85.1%
Draw
8.1%
HJK Helsinki
6.8%
74
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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