MX23RW : Friday, May 19 10:24:52| >> :120:44800:44800:
Red Star Belgrade
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Red Star Stadium
Ferencvaros
Red Star
4 - 1
Ferencvaros
Kanga (27' pen., 60'), Mitrovic (35'), Katai (51')
Dragovic (21'), Sanogo (54'), Rodic (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Zachariassen (71')
Mmaee (73'), Knoester (79'), Vecsei (86')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Red Star Belgrade and Ferencvaros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-1 Red Star
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
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Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Ferencvaros
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
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We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-1 Ferencvaros

Despite their respective positions in the group, this match should be far more competitive than many will anticipate. Although the visitors are the team in form, Red Star are far stronger at their home ground, and we anticipate a competitive share of the spoils being played out in Serbia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawFerencvaros
48.15% (-0.26499999999999 -0.26) 24.89% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 26.96% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 53.95% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)48.76% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)70.87% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71% (-0.133 -0.13)20.28% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.35% (-0.214 -0.21)52.64% (0.219 0.22)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.142 0.14)32.32% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.158 0.16)68.83% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 48.15%
    Ferencvaros 26.96%
    Draw 24.88%
Red Star BelgradeDrawFerencvaros
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 48.15%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 26.96%

How you voted: Red Star vs Ferencvaros

Red Star Belgrade
52.7%
Draw
16.3%
Ferencvaros
31.0%
129
rhs 2.0
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