Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.