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Colchester United
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Brentford logo
Colchester
0 - 2
Brentford

Dallison (46'), Kazeem (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lewis-Potter (39'), Bech Sorensen (90+1')
Onyeka (32')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Colchester United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Brentford

Should Brentford heavily rotate, Colchester will fancy their chances of causing another upset in this competition. However, the Bees have added to their squad well this summer and should have the firepower to edge past their League Two opponents, especially with Frank likely to have quality options to call upon from the substitutes' bench if required. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawBrentford
23.63% (-0.055 -0.05) 23.73% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 52.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)46.64% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (-0.093 -0.09)68.91% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-0.107 -0.11)33.94% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (-0.113 -0.11)70.62% (0.116 0.12)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31% (-0.017999999999986 -0.02)17.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.67% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)48.33% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 23.63%
    Brentford 52.63%
    Draw 23.72%
Colchester UnitedDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 23.63%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 10.4% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-2 @ 9.01% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.2% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.63%

How you voted: Colchester vs Brentford

Colchester United
16.7%
Draw
9.0%
Brentford
74.4%
78
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2014 3pm
Colchester
4-1
Brentford
Bean (29'), Wynter (32'), Sears (41' pen., 65')
Sears (62'), Gilbey (76')
Dallas (45')
Saville (70')
Oct 19, 2013 3pm
Dec 26, 2012 3pm
Colchester
1-3
Brentford
Wright (23')
Potts (79')
Thompson (10')
Dean (85'), Forshaw (12'), Trotta (4')
Douglas (18'), Adeyemi (34'), Lee (78')
Adeyemi (45')
Sep 8, 2012 3pm
Feb 14, 2012 3pm
Colchester
2-1
Brentford
Gillespie (83', 85')
Duguid (56'), Wilson (60'), Rowlands (76')
McGinn (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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