Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-0 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
