Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
