Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 52.15%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
