Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
