Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.
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