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Chelsea logo
Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Liverpool logo
Chelsea
2 - 2
Liverpool
Kovacic (42'), Pulisic (45+1')
Pulisic (17')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Mane (9'), Salah (26')
Mane (1'), Konate (83')

Preview: Chelsea vs. Liverpool - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Second meets third in a tantalising opening to 2022 at Stamford Bridge, as title rivals Chelsea and Liverpool prepare for battle in the capital.

Thomas Tuchel's side were held to a 1-1 draw by Brighton & Hove Albion last time out, while the Reds were sunk by Leicester City in a 1-0 defeat.


Match preview

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel frustrated with more injury problems during the game against Aston Villa on December 26, 2021.© Reuters

Winter was certainly unforgiving to those in Blue, as a frustrated Thomas Tuchel bemoaned his side's growing absentee list after Brighton took a point home from Stamford Bridge on Wednesday night.

Romelu Lukaku returned to the starting lineup with a bang as he headed in the opening goal after 28 minutes, but last-minute hero Danny Welbeck restored parity for the Seagulls in second-half injury time as Chelsea once again came up short at home.

The Blues have now fallen eight points behind runaway leaders Manchester City in the rankings, and even though the season has only just reached its midway point, Tuchel claimed that it would be "stupid" to think his depleted side are capable of competing for top-flight glory.

VAR comments aside as well, four of Chelsea's last five Premier League encounters at Stamford Bridge have now ended 1-1, and failing to keep a single home clean sheet in that run represents quite the downturn from Chelsea's formerly steadfast defence under Tuchel.

Despite the Blues boss' comments, it would be folly to write Chelsea out of the title race ahead of the New Year, and they were certainly done a favour by Leicester before the confidence-sapped Reds make the journey South.

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp during the match on December 28, 2021© Reuters

Before the first ball was kicked at the King Power, all the signs pointed towards a Liverpool victory. The Reds had enjoyed a six-day recovery period after dumping the Foxes out of the EFL Cup, while Brendan Rodgers was short of options 48 hours after that 6-3 loss to Manchester City.

However, Leicester dug deep to pick up a morale-boosting festive win in front of their own fans, as Ademola Lookman came off the bench to strike before the Foxes defence held firm to dampen the spirits on the red half of Merseyside.

Defeat at the King Power marked only Liverpool's second loss in the 2021-22 season across all competitions, and the third-placed Reds now find themselves nine points adrift of Man City having played a game fewer, and fourth-placed Arsenal are suddenly just six points behind.

Of course, Jurgen Klopp's crop will leapfrog the Blues back into the top two with victory in the capital, but they have failed to beat three London sides in Brentford, West Ham United and Tottenham Hotspur away from home so far this season.

Neither Chelsea nor Liverpool tend to kick off the New Year on a high note either, but recent history is in the Reds' favour, as they have only lost two of their last 11 Premier League games against the Blues at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D

Chelsea form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D

Liverpool Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L

Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L



Team News

Chelsea defender Reece James pictured on November 23, 2021© Reuters

Chelsea lost both Reece James and Andreas Christensen to thigh and back problems respectively in the draw with Brighton, while Ben Chilwell is now confirmed to be undergoing surgery on his ACL problem.

Thiago Silva faces a late fitness test while Ruben Loftus-Cheek is struggling with his ankle problem and the COVID-positive Timo Werner did not return to training before the Brighton draw.

Trevoh Chalobah and Malang Sarr may be required to feature from the off in this depleted Chelsea side, and it would not be a surprise to see Kai Havertz provide some fresh legs up top - especially if Romelu Lukaku's recent interview will leave him on the naughty step.

As for Liverpool, Andy Robertson serves the third and final game of his suspension following his sending off against Tottenham, while Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane and Naby Keita are available ahead of the imminent Africa Cup of Nations.

Takumi Minamino and Thiago Alcantara are still on the injury list after failing to shake off muscle injuries, while Nat Phillips, Adrian, Divock Origi and Harvey Elliott also remain absent.

Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Mendy; Azpilicueta, Chalobah, Rudiger; Hudson-Odoi, Jorginho, Kante, Alonso; Ziyech, Mount; Havertz

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Matip, Van Dijk, Tsimikas; Henderson, Fabinho, Oxlade-Chamberlain; Salah, Jota, Mane


SM words green background

We say: Chelsea 1-2 Liverpool

The confidence levels in both camps are far from 100% right now, but the Blues' depleted and potentially youthful defence is sure to work in Liverpool's favour on Sunday.

The importance of securing all three points before Salah and Mane jet off to AFCON cannot be understated for the Reds, and we expect Klopp's side to earn the latest in a long line of positive results at Stamford Bridge to inflict more damage on their rivals' title chances.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Chelsea vs Liverpool

Chelsea
26.6%
Draw
19.7%
Liverpool
53.6%
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Newcastle UnitedNewcastle11005143
2Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton11004133
3Manchester CityMan City11003033
4Arsenal11002113
5Fulham11001013
6Crystal Palace11001013
7Brentford10102201
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs10102201
9Chelsea10101101
10Bournemouth10101101
11Liverpool10101101
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham10101101
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000
15Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest100112-10
16Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd100101-10
17Everton100101-10
18Luton TownLuton100114-30
19Burnley100103-30
20Aston Villa100115-40

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