Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
