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Championship | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Den
Bristol City
Millwall
4 - 1
Bristol City
Wallace (5'), Malone (31'), Mitchell (52'), Bradshaw (58')
Mitchell (45'), McNamara (68')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Conway (16')
Baker (73')
The Match
Match Report
Jed Wallace, Scott Malone and Tom Bradshaw also scored in a 4-1 success.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBristol City
42.02%28.9%29.07%
Both teams to score 43.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.43%62.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.84%82.15%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57%65.43%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.92%38.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.16%74.84%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 42.02%
    Bristol City 29.07%
    Draw 28.89%
MillwallDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.7%
2-0 @ 8.38%
2-1 @ 8.09%
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.05%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.89%
0-1 @ 10.82%
1-2 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 29.07%

How you voted: Millwall vs Bristol City

Millwall
55.6%
Draw
36.1%
Bristol City
8.3%
36
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Fourth Round
Millwall
0-3
Bristol City
Diedhiou (32' pen.), Wells (58'), Semenyo (72')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol City
0-2
Millwall

Diedhiou (73'), Massengo (85')
Diedhiou (79')
Bradshaw (18'), Bennett (68')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bristol City
1-2
Millwall
O'Dowda (84')
Wallace (11'), Cooper (70')
Wallace (83')
Apr 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Millwall
1-2
Bristol City
Gregory (41')
Paterson (76'), Diedhiou (81')
Brownhill (24'), Walsh (45'), Palmer (58')
[nma]
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